Canucks: How do they compare to the Seattle Kraken?

THE DEFENSE

Here is what the Kraken defense group looks like:

Mark Giordano – Adam Larsson

Jamie Oleksiak – Vince Dunn

Carson Soucy – Haydn Fleury

Jeremy Lauzon

Similarly to their forwards, the Kraken boast a deep defensive core, but potentially lacking in offense. The difference from the forwards though, is they plucked these players out of top-four roles on their previous teams, so they should all be comfortable taking on lots of minutes.

For the defence groups we will be looking at possession metric data from Hockey Reference for oZS% (offensive zone start percent) versus dZS% (defensive zone start percent) as well as C/60 (corsi-for minus corsi-against per 60 minutes). These will be based on all-situations on the ice.

In the 2020-21 season these defenceman put up a combined average 42.22 oZS%, meaning they only started in the offensive zone about 42% of the time on their respective former teams. This seems like a low number, but if we take in to account what Haydn Fleury’s season looked liked, his oZS% was 53.9% for the Carolina Hurricanes and only 33.3% for the Anaheim Ducks.

Further to that point, Adam Larsson had his second career-lowest oZS% this past season, with only 29.8% of his starts being in the offensive zone. His career average is 38.5%, so look for the Seattle coaching staff to correct that.

On the opposite side, we have the new Kraken defence seeing 57.77 dZS%, meaning the players started a lot in their own end. As was pointed out above, players like Fleury and Larsson were deployed a little differently than normal and so we should see that change in the coming season.

On to corsi per 60 minutes, which measures an individual player’s shot attempts for that hit the net, were blocked or missed the net as well as shot attempts against that hit the net, were blocked or missed the net. You then subtract the “for” metric from the “against” to get C/60.

With all of that in mind, the Kraken defense had a combined average -4.84 C/60, which essentially demonstrates that leaning too much on players for defensive assignments, like what some of these blueliner’s former teams did, is not a sound strategy for success.

Now for the Canucks, this is where things start to get interesting, here is what the Canucks defense group looks like:

Oliver Ekman-Larsson – Tyler Myers

Quinn Hughes (RFA) – Travis Hamonic

Olli Juolevi – Tucker Poolman

Luke Schenn

The Canucks made some changes to their blueline also this Summer, with the acquisition of Ekman-Larsson and UFA signings Poolman and Hunt.

Looking at the Canucks possession metrics, I included defenceman that played 20 or more games, so Jack Rathbone was not included even though there is a good chance he makes the team.

These players ended the season with a combined average 48.42 oZS%, which is actually quite skewed because Quinn Hughes is the only one out of the pack to be over 51% with a 69.8 oZS%. Without the dynamic offensive defenceman, that number is much lower.

It should also be taken in to account, as said above, that Rathbone was not included due to playing under 20 games, but his small sample size of games brought him to 53 oZS%, which would definitely help the team in that regard.

Looking now at dZS%, the players combined for an unsurprisingly low average 50.6 dZS%, once again due to Hughes’ one-sided deployment.

The Canucks coaching staff would be smart to spread around the defensive responsibility as much as possible in order to avoid overworking one or two defenders, as they did with Alex Edler and Nate Schmidt previously.

Moving on to C/60, we have the Canucks coming below the Kraken at -6.04, which tells us the blueliners spent more time in the defensive zone without the puck. Not ideal in the game of hockey to not have the puck.

Here is a breakdown of the numbers, with outside comparisons for context:

Kraken current D: 42.22 oZS%     57.77 dZS%     -4.84 C/60 

Canucks current D: 48.2 oZS%     51.45 dZS%     -6.04 C/60

Canucks 20-21: 42.84 oZS%       57.15 dZS%      -12.04 C/60

Lightning 20-21: 52.18 oZS%     47.82 dZS%      0.471 C/60

The development from this data quite clearly displays that the Canucks have potentially improved their backend in possession metrics, but are still well behind one of the league’s powerhouses in Tampa Bay.

As for the Kraken, since the bulk of their defenseman were tasked on the defensive side of the puck more often than their counterparts, it is expected we see some sort of an improvement in possession numbers. The backend will most likely get the opportunity to play much more on the offensive side of the puck.