The Canuck Way Mailbag: Ekman-Larsson, Hoglander, free agency, more
The Vancouver Canucks trade rumours are ramping up and free agency is around the corner too so that means more questions for this edition of the mailbag!
Similar to last week’s mailbag, the Vancouver Canucks remain in a holding pattern with all of their unrestricted free agents including Tyler Toffoli, Jacob Markstrom, and Chris Tanev. Now trade rumours have begun in earnest with a surprising name at the forefront, Arizona Coyotes’ captain and smooth-skating defenceman Oliver Ekman-Larsson. He has reportedly only included two teams on his list of accepted destinations and the Canucks are one of them.
So in addition to his work of re-signing his free agents, Jim Benning is also on the phone attempting to acquire a top-four defenceman. Matt Dumba has already been in the rumours, so why not OEL too? You know what they say, where there’s smoke there’s fire, so I would not be surprised to see him ultimately acquire another puck-moving defenceman through trade or free agency before the offseason comes to an end.
With the news and rumours about to hit a fever pitch in the coming weeks, let’s get to some more of your questions for The Canuck Way mailbag!
Of course, our first question is about Ekman-Larsson. He is the news of the day, so of course, he’s a huge talking point on every radio show and social media platform right now. If he joins the team, I really see him as a second pairing defenceman with Alex Edler. I realize that they are both left-side defenceman, but I think one of them should be able to switch and play their offside.
As for making Quinn Hughes play on the right, I really think he is smart enough to do it. He’s primarily a left-side defenceman, but with his skating and edge work paired with his otherworldly hockey IQ, he should be able to adjust quite quickly.
Continuing our discussion on additions to the blueline, Surrey native Brenden Dillon could be a good option as a replacement for Tanev. He plays a simple, gritty game from the backend and he skates well for a 6-foot-4, 225-pound man. His size and physicality would be a welcome sight on the backend that could be losing the warrior-like mentality of Tanev.
Dillon blocks a lot of shots and was a mainstay on the penalty kill for both the San Jose Sharks and Washington Capitals. Without the presence of Tanev and potentially Oscar Fantenberg, the Canucks are going to need another defenceman to step up and eat those minutes. He could be the one to do it.
The question, like everything these days, is about money and term. Dillon’s last contract was for $3.5 million in average annual value (AAV), so I would expect him to want more than that. However, with the flat cap and the uncertainty of COVID-19’s effect on the coming seasons, he might have to take a short-term, budget-friendly deal to have a team to skate with for 2020-21. Regardless, the Canucks appear to be a preferred destination for him, as he praised the team in a recent interview on TSN 1040 (per Rob Williams at Daily Hive)
Any Surrey hometown kid that grew up watching the Canucks would love to play for the Canucks…I think from an organization standpoint, to the players that you talk to that have played for the Canucks, to the fanbase, to the arena, it’s obviously got to be a great place to play and would definitely be a place that I’d be interested in.
Dillon, like Ekman-Larsson, sees the vast potential of the Canucks moving forward, so I am not surprised that he wants to be a part of it. Unfortunately, the money might not make sense, especially for a third-pairing defenceman like himself. He is also a left-side defence, which does not replace Tanev’s right side presence. He may be able to step into his penalty killing shoes, but may not be a natural fit on a team that likes the balance of left and right side defencemen playing their proper sides.
Hoglander & third line centers
With how Nils Hoglander is performing in Sweden with Rogle BK right now, I firmly believe he can come into the lineup and make an impact right away. He may need some time to adjust to the smaller ice surface, but if his hockey IQ is anything like Elias Pettersson’s, I don’t think it will be a problem for long. His speed, agility, and creativity are suited to the NHL right now and to the Canucks lineup as well.
Hoglander ideally won’t play in the top-six but form a speedy third line with Adam Gaudette and possibly Zack MacEwen. If Toffoli is not re-signed, all bets are off, but for the Canucks to be a better team in 2020-21, the third unit has to be more of a threat offensively regardless of who is playing on it.
So to answer your question on ETA, I am saying as soon as the beginning of the 2020-21 season. He’s ready for the NHL and could be a 10-15 goal scorer right off the bat. I am not expecting a Pettersson-like debut, but he will surprise a lot of people and become a solid addition to the Canucks’ burgeoning young core.
That Hoglander question was a perfect segue into this one. In addition to another top-four defenceman, Benning has to be looking for a way to upgrade his bottom-six. The Canucks cannot go into next season with Antoine Roussel and Brandon Sutter flanking Gaudette. If that’s the third line going into opening night, then he has failed to improve this team.
We saw first-hand what a speedy third line forward can do in the playoffs for a team with Alex Tuch of the Vegas Golden Knights running around scoring at will against the bottom six of the Canucks.
The 2020 Stanley Cup Champion Tampa Bay Lightning also had major contributions from their third line of Blake Coleman, Barclay Goodrow, and Yanni Gourde which had 13 goals and 34 points between them. If the Canucks are going to be successful in the future, their third-line needs to be more of a factor offensively.
So to answer your question, I think the Canucks need to target a third-line center like Craig Smith, formally of the Nashville Predators. He is an intriguing option, as he is a five-time 20-goal scorer and probably would have hit 20 again if the 2019-20 season concluded with the usual 82 games. He could be a perfect fit on the third line with Gaudette and Hoglander. He would also be a solid addition to the power play as well.
As for your question on Jake Virtanen, I agree with your assertation that the Canucks can get a late first or early second-round pick for him. He still has potential, and with a change in scenery, he could realize it. I find it hard to believe that another team wouldn’t take a chance on a 24-year-old goal scorer for the price of a draft pick. He will at least score 15-20 goals, and with the potential thrown in, the risk is definitely worth it.
Second-round draft picks historically only have a 25 percent chance of making the NHL, so getting a proven goal scorer for that is a small price to pay, especially if you have already chosen a player in the first round. The Ottawa Senators and New Jersey Devils could be targeted as they have multiple picks in both the first and second rounds.
That concludes yet another edition of The Canuck Way mailbag. If all the rumours come to fruition in the next week, we could have a lot more to talk about and analyze. Stay glued to @FSTheCanuckWay and look out for the Tweet for the next one! I will be back to answer all of your questions!